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CENTER ON JUVENILE AND CRIMINAL JUSTICE | |
| www.cjcj.org |
| Center on Juvenile and Criminal Justice, 54 Dore Street, San Francisco, CA 94103 | Tel: (415) 621-5661 | Fax: (415) 621-5466 |
CONTACT: Daniel Macallair
E-mail: [dmacallair@cjcj.org]
Tel: (415) 621-5661 x310
What is most disturbing about the prison population explosion is that the people being sent to prison are not the Ted Bundies, Charlie Mansons, and Timothy McVeighs - or even less sensationalized robbers, rapists, and murders - that the public imagines them to be. Most are defendants who have been found guilty of nonviolent and not particularly serious crimes that do not involve any features that agitate high levels of concern in the minds of the public. Too often, they are imprisoned under harsh mandatory sentencing schemes which were ostensibly aimed at the worst of the worse.
As this analysis will show, the very opposite has been true over the past 20 years. Most of the growth in America's prisons since 1978 is accounted for by nonviolent offenders and 1998 is the first year in which America's prisons and jails incarcerated more than 1 million nonviolent offenders.
The cost of incarcerating this more than one million nonviolent offenders is staggering. The growth in prison and jail populations has produced a mushrooming in prison and jail budgets. In 1978, the combined budgets for prisons and jails amounted to $5 billion. By 1997, that figure had grown to $31 billion.1 States around the country are now spending more to build prisons than colleges, and the combined prison and jail budgets for 1.2 million nonviolent prisoners exceeded the entire federal welfare budget for 8.5 million poor people last year.
This report will analyze the growth in the nonviolent prisoner population. We will explore some of the implications of the increase in nonviolent prisoners in terms of cost and public safety, and suggest some approaches that local, state, and federal governments should consider to address the incarceration of one million nonviolent prisoners.
According to data from the Department of Justice 52.7% of state prison inmates, 73.7% of jail inmates, and 87.6% of federal inmates were imprisoned for offenses which involved neither harm, nor the threat of harm, to a victim.6 Assuming these relative percentages held true for 1998, it can be estimated that by the end of that year, there were 440,088 nonviolent jail inmates, 639,280 nonviolent state prison inmates, and 106,090 nonviolent federal prisoners locked up in America, for a total 1,185,458 nonviolent prisoners. The combined impact of the growth of prison and jail populations in general - and the accelerated growth of the nonviolent segment of the incarcerated population in particular - has given 1998 the dubious distinction of being the first full year in which more than 1 million nonviolent prisoners were held in Americas jails and prisons for the entire year.7


At year end 1996, there were 193 white American prison inmates per 100,000 whites, 688 Hispanic prison inmates per 100,000 Hispanics and 1,571 African American prison inmates per 100,000 African Americans. This means that blacks are now imprisoned at 8 times the rate of whites and Latinos are imprisoned at 3 1/2 times the rate of whites. Increasing incarceration rates for African Americans have been driven largely by increases in drug sentencing over the past two decades.
Ironically, women represent both the fastest growing and least violent segment of prison and jail populations. Women made up 3% (12,927)10 of state prisoners in 1978, a figure which grew to 6.3% (79,624)11 by 1997. While only 27.6% of male jail inmates are violent offenders, an even smaller 14.9% of female jail inmates are in for violent offenses.12 Sixty-four percent of male jail inmates have not been arrested for an act of violence on either their current or any prior offenses. That's true for 83.1% of female jail inmates.13

These figures should be considered conservative because they do not include facility construction costs which, in 1997, amounted to an additional $3.4 billion for the 50 states. Further, according to several estimates, there are hidden costs of operating prisons and jails, such as health care and other contracted services, and debt services on prison bonds which probably drive the average annual cost of imprisonment up closer to $40,000.
But even without these hidden costs, the amount we spend to incarcerate Americas nonviolent offenders is so large, it is hard to find other government expenditures to compare it to. The $24 billion figure is almost 50% larger the entire $16.6 billion the federal government currently spends on a welfare program that serves 8.5 million people.17 We are spending 6 times more to incarcerate 1.2 million nonviolent offenders this year than the federal government will spend on child care for 1.25 million children.18 While states and counties have lavished money on their prison and jail systems, they have consistently failed to provide adequate funds for educational, health and mental health, and social programs which could have reduced the need for jails and prisons in the first place, thereby feeding the cycle of imprisonment.
One useful way to analyze the scale of prison expenditures is to compare it to what we are currently spending on universities. Prisons and universities generally occupy the portion of a states budget that is neither mandated by federal requirements, nor driven by population (like K-12 education or Medicare). Because they dominate a state's discretionary funds, prison and universities must fight it out for the non-mandated portion of the budget.
More importantly, however, prisons and universities often target the same audience - young adults. As such, the fiscal trade-offs between these two sectors serve as a barometer of sorts, helping to gauge where we are going as a country, and what our priorities are.
In a series of studies about the shift in funding which has taken place between higher education and corrections, the Justice Policy Institute found:
There is no doubt that the imprisonment of nearly 2 million people has prevented some crimes from being committed. But as Michael Tonry, a professor of law and public policy at the University of Minnesota pointed out recently in The Atlantic Monthly, you could choose another two million Americans at random and lock them up, and that would reduce the number of crimes too.
In order to reasonably conclude that increased incarceration promotes decreased crime, one would need to show that a jurisdiction with a higher growth in its incarceration rates does better from a crime-control standpoint than a jurisdictions with a lower growth in its incarceration rate. If increases in incarceration promoted decreases in crime, one would expect that the jurisdictions with the highest growth in imprisonment would do best from a crime control standpoint. However, in the ten year period from 1980-1991, a period during which the nation's prison population increased the most, 11 of the 17 states that increased their prison population the least experienced decreases in crime. On the other hand, just 7 of the 13 states that increased their prison populations the most experienced decreases in crime: a virtual wash. In a previous study, one of the author's conducted a regression analysis comparing increases in imprisonment with changes in crime in every state in the country and found no relationship between increases in imprisonment and reduction in crime.25


Another way of looking at the effectiveness of mass incarceration is to examine different rates in the United States, over time. The prison population in America grew at an even greater rate in the five years prior to the recent drops in crime than it has in the last five years. So, while there was a 33.6% increase in the incarceration rate from 1987 to 1992, there was a 2% increase in the nation's crime rate, as measured by the FBI Uniform Crime Reports. From 1992 to 1997, there was a 25% increase in the prison population, and a 13% drop in the crime rate. The country actually did better, from a crime-control standpoint, when the prison population grew less precipitously!
The complexities of why crime rates change, and how disconnected they are to the incarceration rate is best typified by what some call the New York miracle. To be sure, the steady and steep drop in crime in Americas largest city is responsible for a sizable portion in the drop in national crime rates. But, ironically, New York's crime rate fell despite the fact that it has had one of the slowest growing prison systems in the country over the past five years, and the New York City jail system has seen a real decline in the number of people it has held over this period.29 Between 1992 and 1997, only two states experienced a slower percentage growth in their prison population than New York - Maryland and Maine. During that time period, for example, New York State's prison population grew from 61,736 to 70,026, while its violent crime rate fell by 38.6%, and its murder rate by 54.5%.
New York State's modest prison growth provides a solid contrast to the explosive use of incarceration in other states. For example, during that time period, California's prison population grew by 30%,30 or about 270 inmates per week, compared to New York States more modest 30 inmates a week. By contrast, California's violent crime rate fell by a more modest 23%, and its murder rate fell by 28%. Put another way, New York experienced a percentage drop in homicides which was half again as great as the percentage drop in California's homicide rate, despite the fact that California added 9 times as many inmates per week to its prisons as New York.
It must be kept in mind that virtually all of these nonviolent offenders will be released from prison and will try to pick up life on the outside following their profoundly damaging time in prison. For the most part, their chances of pursuing a merely viable, much less satisfying, conventional life after prison are diminished by their time behind bars. The contemporary prison experience often converts them into social misfits, and there is a growing likelihood that they will return to crime and other forms of deviance upon release from incarceration. Research by the Rand Corporation31 confirmed what common sense tells us about the prison experience when it found that convicted felons sent to prison had significantly higher rates of rearrest after release than similar offenders placed on probation. The damage done to nonviolent offenders by their experience behind bars is at least one reason why the crime-control impact of massive incarceration is disappointing.
The tide must now be turned and turned abruptly. States and the federal government should abolish mandatory sentencing schemes which send nonviolent offenders to prison for lengthy periods of time. New York's mandatory sentencing system - dubbed the Rockefeller Drug Laws - cost state taxpayers $680 million in 1998, a figure frighteningly close to the $615 million New York has cut from its university systems annual budget.32 A recent analysis by Human Rights watch has concluded that 80% of the nonviolent offenders who received prison sentences in 1997 under the Rockefeller Laws had never been convicted of a violent felony.33
Experiments such as those in Minnesota should be replicated nationwide. Minnesota's sentencing law change during the 1980s drastically slowed prison growth in that state and reserved prison space for violent and more serious offenders, while establishing a network of support programs for less serious offenders. Small release valves for dangerously crowded prison systems, like the highly-effective use of early release in Illinois, should spread to similarly overcrowded systems around the country. New federal funds (and those now earmarked exclusively for prison construction) should be allocated to help states develop ways to substantially reduce the number of nonviolent prisoners in their systems and to carefully evaluate the impact those reforms have on crime.
We are convinced that little will change unless the debate over crime and punishment can be covered more responsibly by the media. From 1992 to 1996, while homicides throughout the country were declining by 20%, the number of murders reported on the ABC, CBS, and NBC evening news increased by 721%. Six times as many Americans ranked crime as the number one problem in 1996 as in 1992. As long as the public, politicians, and the media focus on the demonic images of Hannibal the Cannibal, our jails and prisons will continue to fill up with the gang that couldn't shoot straight.
At a time when crime is down, the economy is strong, and no Americans are fighting on foreign soil, we have a unique opportunity to turn our attention to one of our most pressing domestic problems. The cycle of imprisonment has taken on a life of its own, but it is something we created, and as such, something we can change.
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